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Red249
2501154.4
5638142.0
3750184.9
Blue425
2846150.5
2883149.8
5914145.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356331200250300400450500550249425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#13
184.91.4
182.4183.8
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
red by 34.3
2846
#20
150.50.2
149.4149.6
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
Second
2501
#22
154.40.1
155.0155.1
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
red by 4.6
2883
#31
149.80.4
148.3148.7
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
Third
5638
#33
142.00.6
141.6142.2
Auto15.4
Teleop108.7
End14.9
blue by 3.2
5914
#14
145.20.8
143.0143.8
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed