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Qual 452018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red323
3630121.9
2987167.3
1816150.7
Blue207
2977159.9
6628142.5
4174159.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327341100200300400500600323207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#10
167.30.5
168.5→168.0
Auto20.9
Teleop126.0
End19.1
red by 7.5
2977
#28
159.90.0
160.7→160.7
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
Second
1816
#5
150.71.4
147.9→149.3
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
blue by 8.5
4174
#17
159.20.2
160.3→160.1
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
Third
3630
#27
121.90.1
122.0→122.2
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
blue by 20.6
6628
#30
142.50.2
143.6→143.4
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed