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Red296
1816150.7
2175168.7
5172211.1
Blue414
6628142.5
2491156.8
3130203.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376358200250300400450500550296414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.11.1
207.7206.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
red by 8.0
203.21.1
199.4200.4
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
Second
2175
#12
168.70.0
173.8173.8
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
red by 12.0
156.80.7
151.8152.6
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
Third
150.70.2
139.1139.3
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
red by 8.2
6628
#30
142.50.8
143.6144.4
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed