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Red265
2883149.8
6175131.5
5638142.0
Blue275
2169139.6
2227158.5
3630121.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301333100200400500600265275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#31
149.80.8
146.1146.9
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
blue by 8.7
158.50.3
155.9156.1
Auto18.5
Teleop114.9
End26.6
Second
5638
#33
142.01.1
131.7132.9
Auto15.4
Teleop108.7
End14.9
red by 2.5
2169
#11
139.60.5
134.3134.8
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
Third
6175
#34
131.50.2
129.9130.0
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
red by 9.6
3630
#27
121.90.8
123.1123.9
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed