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Qual 72018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red289
3100148.5
3244163.5
2052186.5
Blue410
2987167.3
3750184.9
4174159.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355359250300400450289410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#3
186.50.4
182.8→183.2
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
red by 1.7
3750
#13
184.91.0
184.6→183.6
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Second
3244
#8
163.50.4
163.7→163.2
Auto23.2
Teleop110.6
End30.2
blue by 3.8
2987
#10
167.30.0
167.4→167.4
Auto20.9
Teleop126.0
End19.1
Third
3100
#26
148.50.6
154.5→153.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.8
End15.6
blue by 10.7
4174
#17
159.20.8
153.4→154.2
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed