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Qual 82018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red215
3038142.3
2177115.2
2491156.8
Blue430
2502171.4
5278147.3
1816150.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280375100200500600700215430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#9
156.80.9
152.6→153.5
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
blue by 14.6
2502
#4
171.40.7
169.8→169.2
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Second
3038
#25
142.30.1
146.1→146.0
Auto17.9
Teleop108.6
End15.8
blue by 8.4
1816
#5
150.70.1
139.3→139.2
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
Third
2177
#32
115.20.8
115.0→114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End12.5
blue by 32.1
5278
#21
147.30.2
145.9→146.1
Auto19.6
Teleop110.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned