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Qual 522018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red487
3038142.3
3130203.2
3750184.9
Blue219
2169139.6
2977159.9
3926137.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232600100200300500600700487219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#6
203.20.6
204.4→203.8
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
red by 43.3
2977
#28
159.90.8
160.7→159.9
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
Second
3750
#13
184.90.3
183.8→184.2
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
red by 45.3
2169
#11
139.60.7
138.8→139.5
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
Third
3038
#25
142.30.2
142.5→142.3
Auto17.9
Teleop108.6
End15.8
red by 5.0
3926
#35
137.30.5
137.8→137.3
Auto18.5
Teleop102.2
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed