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Red352
2220153.1
3244163.5
2227158.5
Blue393
2175168.7
5914145.2
2502171.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358365150200250300400450500550352393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.50.5
163.0163.5
Auto23.2
Teleop110.6
End30.2
blue by 7.9
171.40.9
169.4170.3
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Second
158.50.8
157.8158.5
Auto18.5
Teleop114.9
End26.6
blue by 10.2
2175
#12
168.70.2
168.7168.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
Third
2220
#19
153.10.0
153.0153.1
Auto24.4
Teleop113.1
End13.6
red by 7.9
5914
#14
145.21.4
143.8145.2
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsEarned