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Semifinal 1-22018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red426
4539218.2
5172211.1
6175131.5
Blue319
2169139.6
1816150.7
3276185.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425308100200500600426319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#2
218.20.3
218.9→218.7
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
red by 33.2
3276
#15
185.10.0
185.0→185.1
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
Second
5172
#1
211.10.2
210.6→210.8
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
red by 60.4
1816
#5
150.70.2
150.5→150.7
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
Third
6175
#34
131.50.3
132.3→132.0
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
blue by 8.1
2169
#11
139.60.0
139.6→139.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6