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Semifinal 2-12018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red380
3130203.2
2052186.5
2491156.8
Blue339
3750184.9
2502171.4
2175168.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398356100200300500600700380339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#6
203.20.0
203.8→203.9
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
red by 18.3
3750
#13
184.90.3
184.2→184.4
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Second
2052
#3
186.50.4
185.6→186.0
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
red by 15.2
2502
#4
171.40.4
170.3→170.7
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Third
2491
#9
156.80.1
157.3→157.3
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
blue by 12.0
2175
#12
168.70.1
168.4→168.6
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7