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Red122
3130203.2
2052186.5
2491156.8
Blue343
3750184.9
2502171.4
2175168.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398353200300500600122343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.20.0
203.9203.9
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
red by 18.3
3750
#13
184.90.2
184.4184.7
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Second
186.50.4
186.0186.4
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
red by 15.2
171.40.4
170.7171.1
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Third
156.80.1
157.3157.4
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9
blue by 12.0
2175
#12
168.70.1
168.6168.7
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7