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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Heartland Regional
Red510
1984145.8
1723161.9
2410125.6
Blue200
5119132.8
6843138.0
2765138.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378308100200500600510200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.90.7
159.7→160.4
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
red by 23.9
2765
#15
138.10.6
137.4→138.1
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Second
1984
#10
145.80.3
144.7→145.0
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
red by 7.8
6843
#5
138.00.3
138.3→138.0
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
Third
2410
#36
125.60.9
122.8→123.7
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
blue by 7.2
5119
#7
132.80.6
132.2→132.8
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0