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Semifinal 2-22018 Heartland Regional
Red354
1108127.9
3184145.6
4499140.3
Blue344
1710156.3
4522157.1
1982128.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291358100200400500600354344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#9
145.60.6
144.4→145.0
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
blue by 11.4
4522
#3
157.10.5
155.1→155.7
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
Second
4499
#22
140.30.8
138.7→139.5
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
blue by 16.0
1710
#14
156.30.6
154.1→154.7
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
Third
1108
#16
127.90.1
128.1→127.9
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
blue by 0.9
1982
#19
128.80.1
128.5→128.5
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4