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Qual 12018 Heartland Regional
Red104
2167112.6
200196.6
591899.2
Blue367
1982128.8
2353149.1
1806155.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483140100200400500600104367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2167
#21
112.616.6
69.5→86.1
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
blue by 42.4
1806
#13
155.011.4
117.3→128.7
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
Second
5918
#38
99.216.7
68.3→85.0
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
blue by 49.9
2353
#17
149.117.2
63.8→81.0
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
Third
2001
#41
96.616.8
67.4→84.2
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
blue by 32.2
1982
#19
128.816.1
73.5→89.7
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed