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Qual 22018 Heartland Regional
Red206
4499140.3
4959145.8
4646129.3
Blue267
2410125.6
445589.4
1730184.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307301100200400500600206267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#11
145.814.7
86.6→101.3
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
blue by 38.2
1730
#1
184.011.5
116.3→127.9
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
Second
4499
#22
140.312.8
104.0→116.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
red by 14.7
2410
#36
125.613.9
93.9→107.8
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
Third
4646
#31
129.314.2
90.7→104.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
red by 39.9
4455
#43
89.416.9
66.4→83.4
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed