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Qual 32018 Heartland Regional
Red345
2457121.3
967123.8
1939147.4
Blue141
935116.4
1984145.8
5809111.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142630100200400500600700345141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#12
147.415.1
82.3→97.4
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
red by 1.6
1984
#10
145.816.6
69.3→85.9
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Second
967
#37
123.814.2
90.9→105.1
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
red by 7.4
935
#32
116.415.0
84.0→99.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
Third
2457
#29
121.314.2
91.1→105.3
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
red by 9.8
5809
#30
111.616.1
73.3→89.4
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed