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Red174
1777131.4
1982128.8
6886141.3
Blue338
1710156.3
1806155.0
6317123.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703260100200400500600700174338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.310.5
91.5102.0
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
blue by 15.0
1710
#14
156.36.6
114.8121.3
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
Second
1777
#26
131.45.5
104.2109.7
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
blue by 23.6
1806
#13
155.04.1
138.0142.1
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
Third
1982
#19
128.810.6
102.0112.6
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
red by 5.1
6317
#27
123.79.7
98.4108.2
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed