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Qual 172018 Heartland Regional
Red156
5082100.1
935116.4
445589.4
Blue391
1984145.8
2167112.6
6424137.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27226302004006008001,000156391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#32
116.46.3
106.6→112.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
blue by 29.4
1984
#10
145.86.3
94.6→100.9
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Second
5082
#42
100.17.4
89.0→96.4
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
blue by 37.0
6424
#23
137.23.4
110.2→113.6
Auto17.3
Teleop106.8
End13.5
Third
4455
#43
89.45.2
93.5→98.7
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
blue by 23.2
2167
#21
112.68.2
94.1→102.4
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed