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Red206
6843138.0
5119132.8
1108127.9
Blue166
2410125.6
4499140.3
2765138.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279304100200400500206166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.010.3
91.2101.4
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
blue by 2.2
4499
#22
140.32.1
122.7124.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
Second
132.85.1
107.0112.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
blue by 5.3
2765
#15
138.19.9
105.0114.9
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Third
1108
#16
127.96.9
105.8112.8
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 2.2
2410
#36
125.63.4
116.0119.4
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed