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Qual 152018 Heartland Regional
Red136
200196.6
5268129.5
1939147.4
Blue349
4959145.8
1994123.6
4388147.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702880100200400500600136349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#12
147.49.8
108.0→117.8
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
red by 0.4
4388
#8
147.09.8
113.2→123.0
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
Second
5268
#20
129.55.4
97.9→103.3
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
blue by 16.4
4959
#11
145.87.2
101.3→108.4
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
Third
2001
#41
96.68.2
84.2→92.4
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
blue by 27.0
1994
#40
123.66.9
87.7→94.6
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed