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Qual 142018 Heartland Regional
Red209
967123.8
1847121.6
938108.8
Blue162
1769127.7
1997126.4
445589.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267275150200250300350400209162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#37
123.89.9
105.1→115.0
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
blue by 3.9
1769
#33
127.710.4
96.7→107.1
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Second
1847
#28
121.611.1
80.8→91.9
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
blue by 4.8
1997
#25
126.46.2
97.9→104.1
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
Third
938
#34
108.89.9
81.6→91.5
Auto13.2
Teleop90.8
End4.1
red by 19.4
4455
#43
89.410.2
83.4→93.5
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed