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Qual 132018 Heartland Regional
Red268
1806155.0
1108127.9
2410125.6
Blue313
3184145.6
6317123.7
935116.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562420100200300400500600700268313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#13
155.09.2
128.7→138.0
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 9.4
3184
#9
145.69.5
99.4→108.9
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
Second
1108
#16
127.913.5
92.4→105.8
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 4.1
6317
#27
123.712.8
85.7→98.4
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
Third
2410
#36
125.68.2
107.8→116.0
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
red by 9.2
935
#32
116.47.6
99.0→106.6
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed