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Qual 122018 Heartland Regional
Red133
5268129.5
6424137.2
591899.2
Blue330
6843138.0
6886141.3
4786141.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268288150200250350400450133330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#23
137.28.2
102.0→110.2
Auto17.3
Teleop106.8
End13.5
blue by 4.5
4786
#6
141.713.1
95.5→108.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
Second
5268
#20
129.511.2
86.6→97.9
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
blue by 11.9
6886
#2
141.313.7
77.7→91.5
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
Third
5918
#38
99.28.1
85.0→93.2
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
blue by 38.8
6843
#5
138.013.4
77.7→91.2
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed