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Qual 112018 Heartland Regional
Red300
2765138.1
1994123.6
1785113.2
Blue257
6359133.3
4646129.3
1777131.4
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272293100200400500300257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2765
#15
138.112.2
92.9→105.0
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
red by 4.7
6359
#35
133.39.7
97.6→107.2
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
Second
1994
#40
123.67.8
79.9→87.7
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
blue by 7.8
1777
#26
131.48.7
95.4→104.2
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
Third
1785
#24
113.212.6
91.0→103.6
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
blue by 16.1
4646
#31
129.36.9
104.9→111.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed