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Qual 102018 Heartland Regional
Red427
1939147.4
2353149.1
1730184.0
Blue196
4522157.1
5119132.8
1710156.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903010100200400500600700427196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#1
184.06.7
127.9→134.6
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
red by 26.9
4522
#3
157.110.1
105.5→115.6
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
Second
2353
#17
149.113.0
81.0→94.1
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
blue by 7.2
1710
#14
156.312.7
102.1→114.8
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
Third
1939
#12
147.410.6
97.4→108.0
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
red by 14.6
5119
#7
132.810.4
96.5→107.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed