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Qual 92018 Heartland Regional
Red251
1984145.8
6420123.0
2457121.3
Blue358
5082100.1
1723161.9
1982128.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972700100200400500600251358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1984
#10
145.88.7
85.9→94.6
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
blue by 16.1
1723
#4
161.911.6
103.9→115.5
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
Second
6420
#39
123.010.3
103.1→113.4
Auto16.3
Teleop88.6
End19.8
blue by 5.8
1982
#19
128.812.3
89.7→102.0
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
Third
2457
#29
121.39.9
105.3→115.3
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
red by 21.2
5082
#42
100.17.7
81.4→89.0
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed