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Qual 82018 Heartland Regional
Red363
4786141.7
4388147.0
2167112.6
Blue224
5809111.6
1810130.8
4499140.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683000100200400500600363224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#8
147.010.3
102.9→113.2
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
red by 6.7
4499
#22
140.35.9
116.8→122.7
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
Second
4786
#6
141.715.4
80.1→95.5
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
red by 10.9
1810
#18
130.812.8
100.8→113.6
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
Third
2167
#21
112.68.1
86.1→94.1
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
red by 1.1
5809
#30
111.68.4
89.4→97.8
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed