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Qual 72018 Heartland Regional
Red234
3184145.6
6359133.3
1847121.6
Blue298
5119132.8
1769127.7
5268129.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281284200250300350234298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#9
145.614.9
84.5→99.4
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
red by 12.8
5119
#7
132.815.3
81.3→96.5
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
Second
6359
#35
133.315.1
82.4→97.6
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
red by 3.9
5268
#20
129.516.5
70.2→86.6
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
Third
1847
#28
121.617.2
63.6→80.8
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
blue by 6.1
1769
#33
127.715.2
81.5→96.7
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed