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Qual 62018 Heartland Regional
Red290
2765138.1
6843138.0
6317123.7
Blue326
1785113.2
6886141.3
1723161.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622870200400600800290326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2765
#15
138.115.7
77.1→92.9
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
blue by 23.9
1723
#4
161.914.4
89.5→103.9
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
Second
6843
#5
138.060.3
138.0→77.7
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
blue by 3.3
6886
#2
141.384.0
161.8→77.7
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
Third
6317
#27
123.716.6
69.1→85.7
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
red by 10.5
1785
#24
113.215.9
75.1→91.0
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed