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Qual 212018 Heartland Regional
Red436
4959145.8
1810130.8
2353149.1
Blue249
4646129.3
967123.8
1769127.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295280100200400500600436249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2353
#17
149.111.4
94.1→105.5
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
red by 19.7
4646
#31
129.34.3
111.8→116.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
Second
4959
#11
145.86.7
108.4→115.1
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
red by 18.1
1769
#33
127.75.4
107.1→112.5
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Third
1810
#18
130.86.7
113.6→120.3
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
red by 7.0
967
#37
123.86.5
115.0→121.5
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed