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Qual 222018 Heartland Regional
Red343
2765138.1
1847121.6
1723161.9
Blue113
445589.4
591899.2
1994123.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342110100300400500600343113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.910.2
115.5→125.6
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
red by 38.3
1994
#40
123.66.4
94.6→101.0
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
Second
2765
#15
138.14.9
114.9→119.8
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
red by 38.8
5918
#38
99.23.4
93.2→96.6
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
Third
1847
#28
121.67.2
91.9→99.1
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
red by 32.2
4455
#43
89.41.6
98.7→100.3
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed