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Qual 242018 Heartland Regional
Red307
967123.8
6886141.3
1997126.4
Blue202
5268129.5
1982128.8
6420123.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832710100200400500600307202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6886
#2
141.35.9
102.0→107.8
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
red by 11.9
5268
#20
129.52.7
103.3→106.0
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
Second
1997
#25
126.40.8
106.6→107.4
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
blue by 2.4
1982
#19
128.85.9
112.6→118.5
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
Third
967
#37
123.84.2
121.5→125.7
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
red by 0.7
6420
#39
123.02.6
120.7→123.3
Auto16.3
Teleop88.6
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed