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Qual 252018 Heartland Regional
Red229
1810130.8
1806155.0
1723161.9
Blue317
1730184.0
1108127.9
938108.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350267100200300400500600229317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.97.6
125.6→133.3
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
blue by 22.1
1730
#1
184.06.7
141.9→148.5
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
Second
1806
#13
155.03.9
142.1→146.0
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 27.2
1108
#16
127.94.2
112.8→117.0
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
1810
#18
130.89.1
120.3→129.4
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
red by 22.0
938
#34
108.83.4
97.9→101.3
Auto13.2
Teleop90.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed