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Qual 262018 Heartland Regional
Red227
4959145.8
1769127.7
591899.2
Blue114
4522157.1
1785113.2
5809111.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283277150200250300350400227114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#11
145.89.1
115.1→124.2
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
blue by 11.3
4522
#3
157.15.0
120.4→125.4
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
Second
1769
#33
127.73.5
112.5→116.0
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
red by 14.5
1785
#24
113.24.6
113.8→118.4
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
Third
5918
#38
99.20.2
96.6→96.8
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
blue by 12.3
5809
#30
111.60.1
101.6→101.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed