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Qual 272018 Heartland Regional
Red277
4499140.3
3184145.6
2167112.6
Blue226
1847121.6
2457121.3
4646129.3
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042670100200400500600277226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#9
145.62.9
116.5→119.4
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
red by 16.3
4646
#31
129.32.8
116.0→118.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
Second
4499
#22
140.30.3
124.8→124.5
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
red by 18.7
1847
#28
121.65.5
99.1→104.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
Third
2167
#21
112.69.3
102.4→111.7
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
blue by 8.7
2457
#29
121.31.9
122.3→124.2
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed