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Qual 282018 Heartland Regional
Red369
6843138.0
6359133.3
1984145.8
Blue218
5119132.8
4786141.7
2353149.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523310100200300400500600369218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1984
#10
145.87.9
100.9→108.8
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
blue by 3.2
2353
#17
149.112.3
105.5→117.8
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
Second
6843
#5
138.06.5
101.4→107.9
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
blue by 3.7
4786
#6
141.78.5
118.8→127.3
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
Third
6359
#35
133.33.2
113.3→116.6
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
red by 0.5
5119
#7
132.83.0
112.0→115.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed