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Qual 292018 Heartland Regional
Red335
4959145.8
6317123.7
1777131.4
Blue195
4388147.0
5082100.1
6424137.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288296200250350400335195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#11
145.86.5
124.2→130.7
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
blue by 1.2
4388
#8
147.08.5
123.0→131.5
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
Second
1777
#26
131.42.5
109.7→112.2
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
blue by 5.8
6424
#23
137.26.8
119.7→126.5
Auto17.3
Teleop106.8
End13.5
Third
6317
#27
123.77.6
108.2→115.8
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
red by 23.6
5082
#42
100.13.1
96.4→99.5
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed