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Qual 302018 Heartland Regional
Red267
935116.4
4499140.3
1785113.2
Blue337
1997126.4
200196.6
1710156.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255266100200300400500267337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#22
140.30.9
124.5→123.6
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
blue by 16.0
1710
#14
156.36.5
126.9→133.3
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
Second
935
#32
116.41.4
115.2→113.8
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
blue by 9.9
1997
#25
126.41.6
107.4→109.1
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
Third
1785
#24
113.21.0
118.4→119.4
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
red by 16.6
2001
#41
96.62.3
97.6→95.3
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed