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Qual 342018 Heartland Regional
Red288
967123.8
1723161.9
4786141.7
Blue245
6886141.3
1939147.4
1847121.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362660100200300400500600288245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.93.7
133.3→137.0
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
red by 14.5
1939
#12
147.46.4
123.3→129.8
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
Second
4786
#6
141.74.8
127.3→132.1
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
red by 0.4
6886
#2
141.35.0
107.8→112.9
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
Third
967
#37
123.83.9
125.7→129.6
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
red by 2.2
1847
#28
121.63.6
104.6→108.2
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed