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Qual 352018 Heartland Regional
Red358
5809111.6
5082100.1
5119132.8
Blue257
2353149.1
445589.4
1108127.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113180100400500600358257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#7
132.81.2
115.0→116.2
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
blue by 16.3
2353
#17
149.17.3
117.8→125.1
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
Second
5809
#30
111.62.0
101.6→99.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
blue by 16.3
1108
#16
127.93.0
117.0→120.0
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
5082
#42
100.10.1
99.5→99.6
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
red by 10.7
4455
#43
89.41.1
100.3→99.2
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed