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Red322
5268129.5
6359133.3
4522157.1
Blue231
4499140.3
1806155.0
4388147.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259329100200300400500322231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.11.2
125.4126.6
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 2.0
1806
#13
155.01.3
146.0147.2
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
Second
6359
#35
133.35.0
116.6121.6
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
blue by 13.7
147.03.6
131.5135.1
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
Third
5268
#20
129.51.8
106.0107.8
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
blue by 10.8
4499
#22
140.30.4
123.6124.1
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed