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Qual 372018 Heartland Regional
Red405
1723161.9
3184145.6
1997126.4
Blue117
2167112.6
4959145.8
2765138.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259319100200400500405117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.93.1
137.0→140.1
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
red by 16.1
4959
#11
145.86.2
130.7→136.9
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
Second
3184
#9
145.60.1
120.6→120.7
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
red by 7.6
2765
#15
138.14.4
123.8→128.2
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Third
1997
#25
126.41.7
109.1→110.7
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
red by 13.7
2167
#21
112.64.3
117.2→121.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed