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Qual 382018 Heartland Regional
Red168
1769127.7
935116.4
1810130.8
Blue265
1777131.4
591899.2
1939147.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293285200250350168265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#18
130.81.9
134.1→136.0
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
blue by 16.7
1939
#12
147.44.6
129.8→134.3
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
Second
1769
#33
127.74.5
118.7→123.2
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 3.7
1777
#26
131.43.0
115.7→118.8
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
Third
935
#32
116.40.0
113.8→113.8
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
red by 17.2
5918
#38
99.20.4
97.3→96.8
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed