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Qual 392018 Heartland Regional
Red260
2410125.6
1710156.3
6420123.0
Blue242
6317123.7
6359133.3
2353149.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305323150200250350400450500260242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#14
156.35.0
133.3→138.3
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
red by 7.2
2353
#17
149.15.8
125.1→130.9
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
Second
2410
#36
125.60.4
117.4→117.8
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
blue by 7.7
6359
#35
133.36.2
121.6→127.8
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
Third
6420
#39
123.02.8
125.0→127.8
Auto16.3
Teleop88.6
End19.8
blue by 0.7
6317
#27
123.73.3
122.8→126.1
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed