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Qual 402018 Heartland Regional
Red144
200196.6
5082100.1
967123.8
Blue363
1994123.6
4522157.1
6843138.0
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233323100200400500144363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#37
123.83.2
129.6→132.9
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
blue by 33.3
4522
#3
157.13.7
126.6→130.3
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
Second
5082
#42
100.14.0
99.6→103.6
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
blue by 37.9
6843
#5
138.05.4
115.0→120.4
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
Third
2001
#41
96.61.2
95.3→94.1
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
blue by 27.0
1994
#40
123.63.6
103.2→106.7
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed