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Qual 412018 Heartland Regional
Red248
4646129.3
5268129.5
1785113.2
Blue271
5119132.8
938108.8
1984145.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269321100200300400500248271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#20
129.53.9
107.8→111.7
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
blue by 16.4
1984
#10
145.88.1
117.0→125.0
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Second
4646
#31
129.33.4
120.7→124.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
blue by 3.5
5119
#7
132.84.9
116.2→121.2
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
Third
1785
#24
113.21.6
119.4→121.1
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
red by 4.5
938
#34
108.81.0
103.7→104.7
Auto13.2
Teleop90.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed