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Qual 422018 Heartland Regional
Red141
445589.4
4786141.7
6424137.2
Blue405
2457121.3
1730184.0
1806155.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256364100200300400500141405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#6
141.73.9
132.1→136.0
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
blue by 42.3
1730
#1
184.05.0
153.3→158.3
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
Second
6424
#23
137.22.5
126.5→129.0
Auto17.3
Teleop106.8
End13.5
blue by 17.9
1806
#13
155.00.4
147.2→147.6
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
Third
4455
#43
89.40.3
99.2→99.4
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
blue by 31.9
2457
#29
121.30.5
125.4→124.8
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed