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Qual 432018 Heartland Regional
Red259
4388147.0
1847121.6
1982128.8
Blue280
1108127.9
5809111.6
6886141.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323259100200300400500259280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#8
147.02.0
135.1→137.1
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
red by 5.7
6886
#2
141.33.6
112.9→116.5
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
Second
1982
#19
128.85.2
122.4→127.6
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
red by 0.9
1108
#16
127.92.9
120.0→123.0
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
1847
#28
121.62.6
108.2→110.8
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
red by 10.0
5809
#30
111.62.6
99.6→102.3
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed