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Qual 442018 Heartland Regional
Red407
1939147.4
1984145.8
1994123.6
Blue220
6317123.7
6420123.0
2167112.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330281150200250300350400450500407220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#12
147.44.0
134.3→138.3
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
red by 23.7
6317
#27
123.71.5
126.1→127.6
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
Second
1984
#10
145.87.0
125.0→132.0
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
red by 22.8
6420
#39
123.01.0
127.8→128.8
Auto16.3
Teleop88.6
End19.8
Third
1994
#40
123.64.0
106.7→110.8
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
red by 11.0
2167
#21
112.60.4
121.6→122.0
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed