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Qual 452018 Heartland Regional
Red328
4499140.3
2353149.1
6843138.0
Blue295
1997126.4
2457121.3
1777131.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303289200250350400450328295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2353
#17
149.13.2
130.9→134.1
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
red by 17.7
1777
#26
131.42.9
118.8→121.7
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
Second
4499
#22
140.30.1
124.1→124.0
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
red by 13.9
1997
#25
126.44.4
110.7→115.1
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
Third
6843
#5
138.05.3
120.4→125.7
Auto18.3
Teleop102.2
End15.9
red by 16.7
2457
#29
121.30.6
124.8→125.4
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed